Friday, July 20, 2007

Dow Sinks 149 To End Week

The Dow lost about 150 points Friday, a day after closing above 14,000 for the first time ever, as a spate of weak earnings news and continued housing fears rattled markets. The Dow sank over 1 percent, according to early tallies. The broader S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq each fell about 1.2 percent. The dollar hit a all-time low against the euro, bonds jumped and oil fell.

Stocks had rallied Thursday, pushing the Dow, a blue-chip barometer that tracks 30 large companies, to its highest finish ever. But a big miss from Dow component Caterpillar dashed hopes of another record setting day Friday. The heavy equipment maker said its net profit fell 21 percent and posted earnings of $1.24 a share, versus estimates for $1.49 a share. Caterpillar (down $4.38 to $82.60) shares slid over 5 percent, although they were down over 9 percent earlier in the session.

Lackluster earnings in the tech sector also weighed on stocks. Google (down $28.66 to $519.93) reported earnings late Thursday that missed Wall Street's estimates even as its quarterly sales soared. The earnings miss - only the second since the Internet search firm went public in 2004 - rattled investors who have grown accustomed to solid results from the company. Google shares tumbled 5 percent.

Swedish firm Ericsson, the biggest maker of cell phone network equipment, also reported earnings that fell short of analysts' expectations early Friday. Ericsson (down $2.37 to $39.72) shares fell 5 percent.

"Google and Caterpillar have really taken the wind out of the sails," said Todd Clark, Director of stock trading at Nollenberger Capital Partners in San Francisco. "But this is just some healthy consolidation. The market really looked a little long in the tooth yesterday."

"Earnings are partly a factor, but they are not the whole thing," said Larry Peruzzi, a stock trader at The Boston Company Asset Management.

Peruzzi said the fact that the Dow hit the 14,000 mark Thursday, but just barely, was also giving investors pause.

"As the market gets up there, it acts as a reflection point," he said, noting that the Dow has often dropped after hitting other psychologically important benchmarks like 12,000 or 13,000.

He also said from comments Federal Reserve member William Poole that the subprime mortgage sector was large enough to affect the broader housing market dampened the mood. Defaults on mortgages in the subprime sector have risen sharply in the last few months, resulting in the implosion of several subprime mortgage lenders and funds that bought the repackaged debt. Poole's comments follow those from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who earlier this week told lawmakers that subprime losers could total $100 billion. While so far limited, Bernanke said a housing slowdown had the potential to cut into consumer spending, hurting the broader economy. His comments helped stocks close lower Wednesday.

The Dow has set a record close in five out of the last six sessions. Thursday investors said upbeat earnings from companies such as IBM, Honeywell International and Bank of America helped lift the benchmark index.

But the stock market rally belies fears about the wider economy. In the first quarter of 2007 the economy grew by just 0.7 percent, well below normal.

And on Friday the dollar hit a record low against the euro and declined verses the yen on fears weakness in the U.S. housing sector could crimp consumer spending, further weakening economic growth.

Treasury prices rose as money poured out of stocks and into safer government debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note fell to 4.95 percent from 5.01 percent late Thursday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Overseas, major Asian markets finished the session higher on Wall Street's record day Thursday. European stocks started the day higher but finished in the red as the earnings news rolled in.

Oil prices fell, with U.S. light crude for August delivery down 35 cents to close at $75.57 a barrel on the New York mercantile Exchange. Oil is near its all-time trading high of $78.40 hit last July.

Market breadth was negative. Losers beat winners by more than 3 to 1 on volume of 1.64 billion shares on the New York Stock Exchange. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by over 3 to 1 on volume of 2 billion shares.

COMEX gold for August gained $6.60 to settle at $684.70.

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